speaker
  • Mami Mizutori
    Special Representative of the Secretary-General for Disaster Risk Reduction and Head of UNDRR
  • Armin Schuster
    President
    Federal Office of Civil Protection and Disaster Assistance
  • Dr. Bärbel Kofler
    Federal Government Commissioner for Human Rights Policy and Humanitarian Assistance
  • Christian Reuter
    Secretary General
    German Red Cross
  • Dr. Irene Mihalic
    Domestic Policy Spokesperson
    Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
  • Mario Dobovisek
    Editor and Presenter
    Deutschlandfunk
#FTKatV
back
Workshop
25.10.2021 // 2:30 pm

Of White, Grey and Black Swans: Challenges for Future Civil Protection (German)

How are hazards and risks, potential victims and civil protection organizations changing? What demands will be placed on civil protection in the future? Which lessons learned from the 2015/16 refugee situation and the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic point the way forward?
Both the 2015/16 refugee situation and the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic were perceived as "black swans" - although they were far from it. Migration movements were as predictable as a pandemic, even if the timing and scale were unknown. In its planning, civil protection is broadly based on an extrapolation of well-controllable scenarios of the past, because dealing with white swans - the universally known events from whose past horizon of experience one infers future behavior - is challenging enough. Gray (improbable events) or even black swans (events that have so far only been considered to some extent, such as "complex catastrophes") are still rarely included in planning, even though the field seems to be slowly changing. The workshop will explore which conditions and interactions at the level of a) future hazards and risks, b) potential stakeholders, and c) civil protection organizations could be relevant for civil protection in the future. Using the examples of coping with the last two major situations in Germany - the refugee situation in 2015/16 and the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic - future requirements will be discussed and, in addition, the extent to which learning experiences from these "atypical" situations could be forward-looking will be determined.
Cordular Dittmer

Disaster Research Unit, Freie Universität Berlin
Schließen
Dr. Cordula Dittmer is a research associate at the
Disaster Research Center (KFS) of Freie Universität Berlin. Her work in the WAKE and BePAL projects focuses on the analysis of the management of the refugee situation in 2015/16 and the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic by the Civil Protection.

Daniel Lorenz

Disaster Research Unit, Freie Universität Berlin
Schließen
Daniel F. Lorenz is a research associate at the Disaster
Research Center (KFS) of Freie Universität Berlin and chair of Katastrophennetz e.V. He is currently working on the role of civil protection during the 2015/16 refugee situation and in the management of the current SARS- CoV-2 pandemic.

:
With the support of:
Sponsored by